J.A. CAVALIER
This content is strictly private and not authorized for public distribution. Any unauthorized sharing may result in legal action and DMCA takedown notices.
NBA 1/13/2026
• OKC (1Q) -2.5 (25*)
Oklahoma City profiles as a strong 1st-quarter play at home, where their intensity is highest and their defense sets the tone early. The Thunder own the No. 1 defensive rating, No. 1 net rating, and thrive on forcing turnovers, which is especially problematic for a shorthanded Spurs team without Devin Vassell. Add elite transition efficiency, dominant home splits, and clear motivation to avoid a season sweep, and the opening 12 minutes favor OKC controlling tempo and creating separation.
NBA 1/13/2026
• OKC (1H) -4.5 (50*) 💥
Oklahoma City has been a first-half buzzsaw all season, and the numbers scream early control again tonight. The Thunder own the No. 1 defense, No. 1 net rating, and elite transition efficiency, while San Antonio walks in shorthanded without Devin Vassell and vulnerable to early turnovers. At home, motivated to avoid a sweep, OKC’s defensive pressure and pace should create separation quickly. Whether you play the 1H angle or the full-game number, this profiles as a fast start and pull-away spot for the Thunder.
NBA 1/13/2026
• ROCKETS -13 (25*)
Houston is set up to smother Chicago in this spot, and the numbers back a blowout. The Rockets bring an elite defensive core and league-best rebounding, while the Bulls arrive severely shorthanded without Coby White, Josh Giddey, Zach Collins, and Jalen Smith, leaving them with an offensive vacuum. Houston’s ability to control pace, dominate the glass, and punish a bottom-five Bulls defense in the halfcourt creates a massive efficiency gap. At home, with this roster imbalance, the Rockets are built to win comfortably and cover the big number.
NBA 1/13/2026
• BUCKS -3 (50*) 💥
Milwaukee is the sharp side here, especially at home where their efficiency jumps off the page. The Bucks rank top-2 in effective FG% and three-point shooting, and that spacing is deadly at the Fiserv Forum. Minnesota walks in without Anthony Edwards, creating a massive scoring and playmaking void against a Bucks defense trending top-10 over the last ten games. Add Giannis’ interior dominance and Milwaukee’s comfort in tight, execution-based games, and this profiles as a spot where the Bucks control tempo and cover the short number.
NBA 1/13/2026
• PELICANS +2 (10*)
New Orleans is a sharp home underdog in this spot, catching points despite clear matchup edges. Under interim coach James Borrego, the Pelicans have stabilized—most notably with Zion thriving in a high-impact role—and they’ve been quietly reliable against the spread all season. Their ability to force turnovers, score in transition, and dominate the offensive glass directly targets Denver’s defensive weak spots, especially in transition and defensive rebounding. At home, with extra possessions and pace disruption, the Pelicans are well positioned to stay inside the number.
CBB 1/13/2026
• UCONN -6 (25*)
UConn is the sharp side in this Big East road test despite Seton Hall’s home reputation. The Huskies own a massive offensive efficiency edge, elite ball security, and the discipline needed to neutralize the Pirates’ chaos-driven defense. In a slow, half-court game where every possession matters, UConn’s ability to score efficiently inside and out separates them from a Seton Hall offense that struggles badly in the half court. Expect the Huskies to withstand the pressure, pull away late, and cover the number.
CBB 1/13/2026
• MICH STATE -7 (10*)
Michigan State is set up for a statement home win in East Lansing. The Spartans bring a top-five national defense, dominate the offensive glass, and thrive at the Breslin Center, where their physicality and pace overwhelm visiting teams. Indiana has shown clear road regression and struggles with turnovers and second-chance defense—exactly the areas Michigan State punishes most. With elite ball movement, interior rebounding, and a major home-court edge, the Spartans are positioned to create separation and cover the number.
CBB 1/13/2026
• MINNESOTA +2 (10*)
This sets up as a classic letdown spot for Wisconsin and a strong home buy on Minnesota. The Badgers come off a massive emotional road upset and now travel again into a rivalry environment, while the Gophers are 9–1 at home, motivated, and desperate to snap a long losing streak in the series. Minnesota’s slow, grind-it-out tempo shrinks possessions and keeps games tight, neutralizing Wisconsin’s offensive edge. In a spot where intensity and environment matter
2-TEAM ML PARLAY
• UCONN/MICH STATE (50*) 💥
This Michigan State & UConn moneyline parlay is built on discipline, defense, and situational edges. Michigan State is dominant at the Breslin Center, owning a top-five national defense, a massive offensive rebounding advantage, and facing an Indiana team that has consistently regressed on the road. UConn brings the second leg home with a huge offensive efficiency gap, elite ball security, and the composure to neutralize Seton Hall’s pressure in a slow, physical game. Two fundamentally sound teams in controlled environments make this a high-probability parlay.